How to Handicap Horse Races - Picking Winners - Winners

Always check the race description at the top of the Past Performances first. 
 The race description will always determine which strategy should be deployed. Distance, purse, race type (Claiming, Allowance or Stakes) determine which strategy is best. 
  
Step 2

Next handicap the chalk. Despite what some may say there is only one chalk (favorite) in a race. It is always better to be handicapping while observing the tote board so you will know which horse is actually the chalk. The track handicapper may have published the morning line indicating that one horse is the favorite. But, the betting public may decide otherwise. If you know the chalk, you can try and figure out if any of the other horses can beat him.

Step 3

Next scan the power ratings or average Beyer for the horses. Sometimes this will eliminate the need to handicap some horses thus saving time and energy. Remember they go off in 20 minutes.

Step 4

I have discovered that the best way to find a horse whose trainer really wants a win is to check the workouts. It is important to note where and when the horse was worked. Less important though not useless is the actual time of the work out. Workouts are also a great way to find a winning long shot.

Step 5

The second most important thing to check is the previous races that the horse ran. A horse that has run in higher dollar races has a definite advantage. It is hard to find a good long shot like this as most handicappers know this trick.

Step 6

Most PP's (Past Performances) show at the bottom of each horse's stats the trainer's stats. This is a good way to find horses with some odds. You could find a horse trainer who hits a high percentage at this type of race, remember you checked race description at the top thatâ€™s number step 1 on this list. If not, go back to step 1.

Step 7

Yes i have jockey as number seven. Jockey is too easy most people only think of jockey when handicapping a race. it makes it hard to get a good bet on the jockey alone.

Step 8

Horse age is important, especially in low dollar races and some sprints. I have seen 11 year olds win races. But they are hard to predict. 
 
Step 9

Breeding is important to trainers to determine a horses potential. However after the horse has a few under his belt it doesn't tell that much.

Step 10

Lifetime winning divided by races

Step 11

Previous race splits help determine a horses pace (running style) this way, or maybe determine how he ran in a previous race which was similar.
 
Step 12

Running Style is very important, it is especially for making one harder on a horse which the picker already likes.
 
Step 13

Horse type can have sign of importance. Geldings, Colts, Horses, Phillies and Mares are all very different. Yes are often in a race often for different reasons.
 
Step 14

Previous race comments, explain the previous races events for the horse in one short statement. Such as bumped out of gate or wired field.
 
Step 15

The weight which the horse is carrying is important for obvious reasons. I have read that weight maters more in sprints than distance. But I don't believe it.

Step 16

Horses are given lots of performance enhancing drugs. Lasix being the most famous. First time might be important. 
Step 17

On some equations the owner is important but rarely. 
 
Step 18

The purchase price of the horse can show how they are being brought along.

Click to the steps.

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